Model lowers expected cancellations among Philadelphia departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday to about 3
- Current state
- Resolved at 12:56 PM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
-
Initial Forecast
Model expects about 8 cancellations among Philadelphia departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 22 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Saturday to be cancelled (38%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target PHL departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~8.3 over 22 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 11:00 AM EST · 9.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 16:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Philadelphia departures 9 PM–midnight Saturday to about 3
What changed: about 8 → 3
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 22 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Saturday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target PHL departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~2.5 over 22 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM EST · 8.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 17:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?