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Observed Significant Developing Delay SFO departures

SFO departure delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Developing
Started
Latest activity
Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    SFO departures running late: 57% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 23 departures that took off between 9:06 AM and 10:06 AM PST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 18% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:06 AM–10:06 AM PST
    Sample23 flights, 13 late (57%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour
    Median delay21.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 18:06 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays worsen: 64% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 57% → 64%

    Of 25 departures that took off between 9:35 AM and 10:35 AM PST, 16 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:35 AM–10:35 AM PST
    Sample25 flights, 16 late (64%)
    Comparison27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
    Median delay31.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 18:35 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 64% → 50%

    Of 20 departures that took off between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM PST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:00 AM–11:00 AM PST
    Sample20 flights, 10 late (50%)
    Comparison27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
    Median delay16.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 19:00 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays worsen: 76% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 50% → 76%

    Of 17 departures that took off between 11:17 AM and 12:17 PM PST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:17 AM–12:17 PM PST
    Sample17 flights, 13 late (76%)
    Comparison28% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour
    Median delay51.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 20:17 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  5. De-escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 76% → 58%

    Of 19 departures that took off between 11:38 AM and 12:38 PM PST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:38 AM–12:38 PM PST
    Sample19 flights, 11 late (58%)
    Comparison32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour
    Median delay34.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 20:38 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?