tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories <1 minFAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 2 hLightning <1 minWeather observations 4 minFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 5 min
Forecast Significant New Cancellation ORD departures

Model expects about 14 cancellations among O'Hare departures 6–9 PM Sunday

Current state
New
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
Create monitor View ORDFlights at ORD

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 14 cancellations among O'Hare departures 6–9 PM Sunday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 14 of the 226 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetORD departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~13.7 over 226 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Nov 15, 7:00 AM CST · 9.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 14:25 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?