tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 1 minFAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 2 hLightning <1 minWeather observations <1 minFAA surface data <1 minFAA flight data 1 min
Forecast Significant New Cancellation ORD departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among O'Hare departures 9 PM–midnight Sunday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 7 cancellations among O'Hare departures 9 PM–midnight Sunday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 134 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Sunday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetORD departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-15 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~7.3 over 134 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Nov 15, 9:00 AM CST · 11.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 15:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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