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Forecast Significant New Cancellation BNA departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Nashville departures 6–9 PM Sunday

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among Nashville departures 6–9 PM Sunday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 82 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetBNA departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~6.1 over 82 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Nov 15, 8:00 AM CST · 9.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 14:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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