National aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 18 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:20 PM EDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
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Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National: 10 of 32 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 45 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 4:13 PM and 5:43 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 32. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 4:13 PM–5:43 PM EDT · 45 departures, aircraft known for 32 Tight turns 10 (31%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 9 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 1770 to AUS at 5:19 PM: aircraft N9032R, inbound WN 537 from BNA (airborne), 0 min to turn Tightest WN 1691 to PVD at 4:54 PM: aircraft N461WN, inbound WN 3522 from STL (airborne), 0 min to turn Tightest WN 1305 to DAL at 4:20 PM: aircraft N1805U, inbound WN 4320 from MDW (landed), 20 min to turn Tightest YX 4509 to CLE at 5:08 PM: aircraft N403YX, inbound YX 4375 from EYW (airborne), 25 min to turn Tightest G7 4504 to EWR at 4:44 PM: aircraft N565GJ, inbound G7 4433 from EWR (airborne), 26 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 20:13 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 18 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 32% at worst → 6% now
Of the 32 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 6:20 PM and 7:50 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 18. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 6:20 PM–7:50 PM EDT · 32 departures, aircraft known for 18 Tight turns 1 (6%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 1 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 1484 to ATL at 6:53 PM: aircraft N274WN, inbound WN 1358 from ATL (airborne), 23 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 22:20 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?