National departures back near normal: 22% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 10:58 PM EDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National departures running late: 68% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 28 departures that took off between 6:01 PM and 7:01 PM EDT, 19 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 40% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 6:01 PM–7:01 PM EDT Sample 28 flights, 19 late (68%) Comparison 40% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour Median delay 38.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 23:01 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National departures back near normal: 22% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 70% at worst → 22% now
Of 18 departures that took off between 9:58 PM and 10:58 PM EDT, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 37% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:58 PM–10:58 PM EDT Sample 18 flights, 4 late (22%) Comparison 37% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour Median delay 0.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-20 02:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?