National aircraft turns back near normal: 2 of 19 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 9:49 PM EDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National: 12 of 35 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 46 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 4:54 PM and 6:24 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 35. For 12 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 4:54 PM–6:24 PM EDT · 46 departures, aircraft known for 35 Tight turns 12 (34%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 9 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest B6 2954 to BOS at 4:55 PM: aircraft N3289J, inbound B6 1555 from BOS (airborne), -8 min to turn Tightest YX 5713 to JFK at 5:00 PM: aircraft N225JQ, inbound YX 5709 from LGA (airborne), 0 min to turn Tightest YX 4651 to CHS at 4:59 PM: aircraft N111HQ, inbound YX 4470 from PIT (landed), 4 min to turn Tightest WN 418 to AUS at 5:31 PM: aircraft N8664J, inbound WN 4360 from LAS (airborne), 12 min to turn Tightest YX 4590 to CAE at 5:05 PM: aircraft N404YX, inbound YX 4342 from BOS (landed), 14 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-21 20:54 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National aircraft turns back near normal: 2 of 19 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 43% at worst → 11% now
Of the 21 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 9:49 PM and 11:19 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 19. For 2 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 9:49 PM–11:19 PM EDT · 21 departures, aircraft known for 19 Tight turns 2 (11%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 2 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest OH 5283 to MHT at 10:11 PM: aircraft N532EA, inbound OH 5452 from RDU (airborne), -12 min to turn Tightest AA 1804 to BDL at 10:35 PM: aircraft N775XF, inbound AA 1004 from BOS (airborne), 22 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 01:49 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?