tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Major Resolved Delay HOU departures

Hobby departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View HOUFlights at HOU

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Hobby departures running late: 42% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 12 departures that took off between 10:11 AM and 11:11 AM CDT, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Hobby typically sees 15% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:11 AM–11:11 AM CDT
    Sample12 flights, 5 late (42%)
    Comparison15% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
    Median delay8.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-22 16:11 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Hobby departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 42% → 72%

    Of 18 departures that took off between 3:15 PM and 4:15 PM CDT, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Hobby typically sees 35% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:15 PM–4:15 PM CDT
    Sample18 flights, 13 late (72%)
    Comparison35% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour
    Median delay24.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-22 21:15 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Thu Oct 22, 10:34 PM CDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.