tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Major Resolved Delay BNA departures

Nashville departure delays worsen: 91% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
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Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Nashville departures running late: 65% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 20 departures that took off between 12:57 PM and 1:57 PM CDT, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Nashville typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:57 PM–1:57 PM CDT
    Sample20 flights, 13 late (65%)
    Comparison32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour
    Median delay33.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-22 18:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Nashville departure delays worsen: 91% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 65% → 91%

    Of 22 departures that took off between 8:57 PM and 9:57 PM CDT, 20 left at least 15 minutes late. Nashville typically sees 47% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window8:57 PM–9:57 PM CDT
    Sample22 flights, 20 late (91%)
    Comparison47% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour
    Median delay57.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-23 02:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Oct 23, 4:41 AM CDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.