tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 5 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 59 minLightning 2 minWeather observations 5 minFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min
Forecast Significant Resolved Delay DAL departures

Model forecasts 58% delay risk for Love Field departures 3–6 PM Thursday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Create monitor View DALFlights at DAL

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model forecasts 58% delay risk for Love Field departures 3–6 PM Thursday

    Tailodds’ model gives the 37 departures scheduled from Love Field 3–6 PM Thursday an average 58% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 1:00 PM CDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetDAL departures 3–6 PM 2026-10-22 (15+ min late)
    Probability (calibrated, mean per flight)58% over 37 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonThu Oct 22, 1:00 PM CDT · 1.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-22 18:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Thu Oct 22, 3:01 PM CDT: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.