Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 229 hstaleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 229 hstaleWeather observations no datastaleFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 2 min
FAA NAS status is stale (229 h old).
No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.
Lightning is stale (229 h old).
Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.
Weather observations is stale.
Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.
▼ about 8 → 4 expected cancellations since the 7:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 104 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 9 → 5 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 98 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Friday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 7 → 4 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 78 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 104 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 96 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Friday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▲ about 4 → 7 expected cancellations since the 3:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 77 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 8 → 4 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 77 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 77 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 117 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 112 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 101 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Thursday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 81 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 120 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 7 → 3 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 80 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
▼ about 9 → 5 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast
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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 120 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 80 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 120 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 123 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 113 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.