Model lowers expected cancellations among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday to about 2
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:57 AM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 3
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 7 cancellations among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 80 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BOS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-07 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~7.0 over 80 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 7, 2:00 AM EST · 8.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-07 08:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday
What changed: about 7 → 3 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 80 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BOS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-07 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~3.5 over 80 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 7, 5:00 AM EST · 6.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-07 10:59 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday to about 2
What changed: about 3 → 2
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 81 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BOS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-07 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~2.5 over 81 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 7, 6:00 AM EST · 5.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-07 11:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?