Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.
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Of 19 departures that took off between 8:58 PM and 9:58 PM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Of 33 arrivals that landed between 2:07 PM and 3:07 PM CST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 30 departures that took off between 2:07 PM and 3:07 PM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 32 arrivals that landed between 9:21 AM and 10:21 AM CST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Window 9:21 AM–10:21 AM CSTSample 32 flightsLate 0%Typical 18%
Of 36 arrivals that landed between 7:46 PM and 8:46 PM CST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 21 departures that took off between 9:50 PM and 10:50 PM CST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 46 departures that took off between 2:11 PM and 3:11 PM CST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 52 departures that took off between 11:48 AM and 12:48 PM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 26% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 49 arrivals that landed between 9:30 AM and 10:30 AM CST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Window 9:30 AM–10:30 AM CSTSample 49 flightsLate 4%Typical 18%
Of 16 arrivals that landed between 5:41 AM and 6:41 AM CST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Window 5:41 AM–6:41 AM CSTSample 16 flightsLate 0%Typical 18%
Of 71 departures that took off between 7:57 PM and 8:57 PM CST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 49 arrivals that landed between 2:15 PM and 3:15 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 63 departures that took off between 11:41 AM and 12:41 PM CST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 26% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 37 departures that took off between 8:44 PM and 9:44 PM CST, 17 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Of 23 arrivals that landed between 8:28 PM and 9:28 PM CST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Of 58 departures that took off between 8:05 PM and 9:05 PM CST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 44 departures that took off between 4:22 PM and 5:22 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 22% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 48 arrivals that landed between 2:15 PM and 3:15 PM CST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 39 departures that took off between 2:01 PM and 3:01 PM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 65 departures that took off between 11:48 AM and 12:48 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 26% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 16 arrivals that landed between 9:39 PM and 10:39 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 16 departures that took off between 9:33 PM and 10:33 PM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 32 departures that took off between 3:57 PM and 4:57 PM CST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 22% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 50 arrivals that landed between 12:08 PM and 1:08 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Bush arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Of 63 departures that took off between 11:44 AM and 12:44 PM CST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Bush typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 26% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
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Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?