Tailodds’ model gives the 95 departures scheduled from Phoenix 6–9 PM Friday an average 54% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 7:00 AM MST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 112 departures scheduled from Phoenix 3–6 PM Friday an average 54% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 36%. From the 7:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 112 departures scheduled from Phoenix noon–3 PM Friday an average 46% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 30%. From the 7:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 7% late in the last hour
late share 58% at worst → 7% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 30 arrivals that landed between 6:21 AM and 7:21 AM MST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Phoenix departures back near normal: 6% late in the last hour
late share 54% at worst → 6% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 16 departures that took off between 5:51 AM and 6:51 AM MST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Phoenix arrivals running late: 44% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
44% lateOf 16 arrivals that landed between 11:53 PM and 12:53 AM MST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Of 14 departures that took off between 9:17 PM and 10:17 PM MST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Phoenix departures back near normal: 6% late in the last hour
late share 68% at worst → 6% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 17 departures that took off between 5:52 AM and 6:52 AM MST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 30 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Phoenix arrivals running late: 57% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
57% lateOf 14 arrivals that landed between 11:56 PM and 12:56 AM MST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Of 14 departures that took off between 10:55 PM and 11:55 PM MST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Phoenix departures back near normal: 25% late in the last hour
late share 69% at worst → 25% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 20 departures that took off between 10:15 PM and 11:15 PM MST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 3% late in the last hour
late share 50% at worst → 3% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 29 arrivals that landed between 6:21 AM and 7:21 AM MST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Phoenix departures back near normal: 6% late in the last hour
late share 50% at worst → 6% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 16 departures that took off between 5:34 AM and 6:34 AM MST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Phoenix departures back near normal: 19% late in the last hour
late share 47% at worst → 19% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 48 departures that took off between 11:07 AM and 12:07 PM MST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Phoenix departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour
late share 45% at worst → 9% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 34 departures that took off between 12:30 PM and 1:30 PM MST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
FAA no longer lists departure delays at Phoenix
departure delays no longer listedLoading earlier updates…
FAA-reported departure delays at Phoenix (PHX) no longer appear in the FAA’s airport status as of 10:54 AM MST, in 3 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 10:24 AM MST.
Model lowers Phoenix departure delay risk noon–3 PM Tuesday to 36%, near normal
48% → 36%; calm-weather level 28%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 172 departures scheduled from Phoenix noon–3 PM Tuesday an average 36% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 28%. From the 3:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Phoenix departures back near normal: 24% late in the last hour
late share 81% at worst → 24% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 21 departures that took off between 10:24 PM and 11:24 PM MST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Phoenix arrivals running late: 42% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
42% lateOf 19 arrivals that landed between 7:42 PM and 8:42 PM MST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Tailodds’ model gives the 67 departures scheduled from Phoenix 9 PM–midnight Monday an average 58% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 42%. From the 5:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 182 departures scheduled from Phoenix 3–6 PM Monday an average 55% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 37%. From the 11:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
FAA no longer lists departure delays at Phoenix
departure delays no longer listedLoading earlier updates…
FAA-reported departure delays at Phoenix (PHX) no longer appear in the FAA’s airport status as of 12:08 PM MST, in 3 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 11:59 AM MST.
Phoenix departures back near normal: 17% late in the last hour
late share 50% at worst → 17% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 46 departures that took off between 11:02 AM and 12:02 PM MST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
FAA no longer lists departure delays at Phoenix
departure delays no longer listedLoading earlier updates…
FAA-reported departure delays at Phoenix (PHX) no longer appear in the FAA’s airport status as of 10:50 AM MST, in 3 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 10:17 AM MST.
Tailodds’ model gives the 146 departures scheduled from Phoenix 6–9 PM Monday an average 56% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 40%. From the 9:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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- Observed
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