Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
0FAA delay programs right now
26%average chance of a late departure on Thursday
2%average chance of a cancellation on Thursday
Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for departures at these airports on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years. They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports on Thursday, October 29
Typical odds for Thu, Oct 29, worst first. Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#1
38%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~25 of 1059
+16 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 5 PM · 49%
Clear
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#2
33%
leave 15+ min late
4%
cancelled, ~22 of 520
+16 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 7 PM · 51%
Clear
EWR
Newark
#3
32%
leave 15+ min late
3%
cancelled, ~16 of 510
+11 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 51%
Clear
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#4
31%
leave 15+ min late
3%
cancelled, ~9 of 294
+9 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 10 PM · 50%
Clear
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#5
30%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~6 of 311
+9 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 9 PM · 48%
Clear
CLT
Charlotte
#6
29%
leave 15+ min late
4%
cancelled, ~28 of 762
+10 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 9 PM · 42%
Clear
DCA
Washington National
#7
28%
leave 15+ min late
3%
cancelled, ~12 of 436
+10 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 42%
Clear
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#8
28%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~26 of 1302
+9 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 39%
Clear
BOS
Boston Logan
#9
28%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~11 of 559
+12 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 7 PM · 46%
Clear
DEN
Denver
#10
28%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~24 of 1037
+8 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 39%
Clear
JFK
New York JFK
#11
27%
leave 15+ min late
3%
cancelled, ~18 of 565
+11 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 10 PM · 41%
Clear
LAS
Las Vegas
#12
27%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 596
+3 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 9 PM · 41%
Clear
PHL
Philadelphia
#13
26%
leave 15+ min late
3%
cancelled, ~12 of 459
+9 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 39%
Clear
ATL
Atlanta
#14
26%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~16 of 1144
+11 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 38%
Clear
MIA
Miami
#15
26%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 470
+6 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 37%
Clear
IAH
Houston Bush
#16
26%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 619
+9 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 5 PM · 37%
Clear
PHX
Phoenix
#17
26%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 646
+2 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 39%
Clear
MCO
Orlando
#18
25%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 535
+7 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 8 PM · 38%
Clear
SFO
San Francisco
#19
23%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 593
+3 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 3 PM · 32%
Clear
LAX
Los Angeles
#20
22%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 738
+2 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 7 PM · 30%
Clear
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#21
22%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 604
+5 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 2 PM · 26%
Clear
DTW
Detroit
#22
22%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 454
+7 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 5 PM · 33%
Clear
IAD
Washington Dulles
#23
20%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~7 of 365
+6 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 6 PM · 29%
Clear
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#24
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 462
+4 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 4 PM · 30%
Clear
SLC
Salt Lake City
#25
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 359
+3 pts above normal
30%
Worst hour 7 PM · 27%
Clear
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 38% | +16 pts | 2% |
| 2 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Normal operations | 33% | +16 pts | 4% |
| 3 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 32% | +11 pts | 3% |
| 4 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 31% | +9 pts | 3% |
| 5 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Normal operations | 30% | +9 pts | 2% |
| 6 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 29% | +10 pts | 4% |
| 7 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 28% | +10 pts | 3% |
| 8 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Normal operations | 28% | +9 pts | 2% |
| 9 | BOS Boston Logan | Normal operations | 28% | +12 pts | 2% |
| 10 | DEN Denver | Normal operations | 28% | +8 pts | 2% |
| 11 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 27% | +11 pts | 3% |
| 12 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 27% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 13 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 26% | +9 pts | 3% |
| 14 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 26% | +11 pts | 1% |
| 15 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 26% | +6 pts | 1% |
| 16 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 26% | +9 pts | 1% |
| 17 | PHX Phoenix | Normal operations | 26% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 18 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 25% | +7 pts | 1% |
| 19 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 23% | +3 pts | 1% |
| 20 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 22% | +2 pts | 1% |
| 21 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 22% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 22 | DTW Detroit | Normal operations | 22% | +7 pts | 1% |
| 23 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 20% | +6 pts | 2% |
| 24 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 17% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 25 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 16% | +3 pts | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.