Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
0FAA delay programs right now
16%average chance of a late departure on Wednesday
<1%average chance of a cancellation on Wednesday
Schedule: FAA flight plans for 80 flights; the other 26,324 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports on Wednesday, October 28
Forecasts for Wed, Oct 28, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
MCO
Orlando
#1
22%
leave 15+ min late
6%
cancelled, ~28 of 486
+8 pts above normal
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
20%
Worst hour 8 PM · 36%
32 kt gusts, 1800 ft ceiling, 0.2 in rain
MIA
Miami
#2
21%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~5 of 445
+5 pts above normal
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
20%
Worst hour 8 PM · 28%
20 kt gusts, 3500 ft ceiling, 0.24 in rain
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#3
20%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 262
+4 pts above normal
▼ 3 pts in 24 h
20%
Worst hour 9 PM · 32%
24 kt gusts, 3500 ft ceiling, 0.15 in rain
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#4
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 1037
+2 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 28%
18 kt gusts, 4100 ft ceiling
PHX
Phoenix
#5
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 606
+1 pt above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 27%
8 kt gusts, high ceiling
IAH
Houston Bush
#6
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 596
+4 pts above normal
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
20%
Worst hour 5 PM · 28%
15 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.02 in rain
LAS
Las Vegas
#7
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 488
+1 pt above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
20%
Worst hour 4 PM · 29%
11 kt gusts, high ceiling
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#8
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 271
+1 pt above normal
20%
Worst hour 7 PM · 26%
7 kt gusts, high ceiling
SFO
San Francisco
#9
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 548
+1 pt above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
20%
Worst hour 2 PM · 22%
13 kt gusts, high ceiling
DEN
Denver
#10
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 971
+2 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 26%
22 kt gusts, high ceiling
EWR
Newark
#11
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 508
+1 pt above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
20%
Worst hour 8 PM · 25%
11 kt gusts, high ceiling
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#12
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 420
+6 pts above normal
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
20%
Worst hour 4 PM · 27%
19 kt gusts, 2400 ft ceiling, 0.23 in rain
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#13
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 569
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 20%
20 kt gusts, 1300 ft ceiling, 0.07 in rain
LAX
Los Angeles
#14
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 692
+1 pt above normal
20%
Worst hour 11 AM · 19%
11 kt gusts, 3500 ft ceiling
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#15
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~9 of 1284
+1 pt above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 22%
15 kt gusts, high ceiling
CLT
Charlotte
#16
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 744
+1 pt above normal
20%
Worst hour 11 PM · 22%
12 kt gusts, high ceiling
DCA
Washington National
#17
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 432
+1 pt above normal
20%
Worst hour 4 PM · 22%
7 kt gusts, high ceiling
PHL
Philadelphia
#18
14%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 423
a normal day
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 21%
7 kt gusts, high ceiling
JFK
New York JFK
#19
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 537
a normal day
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 18%
9 kt gusts, high ceiling
BOS
Boston Logan
#20
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 540
a normal day
20%
Worst hour 7 PM · 21%
10 kt gusts, high ceiling
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#21
12%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 517
a normal day
20%
Worst hour 7 PM · 18%
10 kt gusts, high ceiling
IAD
Washington Dulles
#22
12%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 338
a normal day
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 17%
8 kt gusts, high ceiling
DTW
Detroit
#23
11%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 439
+1 pt above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 16%
9 kt gusts, high ceiling
ATL
Atlanta
#24
11%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~7 of 1063
+1 pt above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 16%
15 kt gusts, high ceiling
SLC
Salt Lake City
#25
10%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 334
+1 pt above normal
20%
Worst hour 7 PM · 19%
10 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.05 in rain
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 22% | +8 pts | 6% |
| 2 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 21% | +5 pts | 1% |
| 3 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Normal operations | 20% | +4 pts | 1% |
| 4 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 20% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 5 | PHX Phoenix | Normal operations | 18% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 6 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 18% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 7 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 18% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 8 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 18% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 9 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 17% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 10 | DEN Denver | Normal operations | 17% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 11 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 17% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 12 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 16% | +6 pts | <1% |
| 13 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 16% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 14 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 16% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 15 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Normal operations | 16% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 16 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 16% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 17 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 15% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 18 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 14% | +0 pts | <1% |
| 19 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 13% | +0 pts | <1% |
| 20 | BOS Boston Logan | Normal operations | 13% | +0 pts | <1% |
| 21 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Normal operations | 12% | +0 pts | <1% |
| 22 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 12% | +0 pts | <1% |
| 23 | DTW Detroit | Normal operations | 11% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 24 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 11% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 25 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 10% | +1 pt | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: FAA flight plans for 80 flights; the other 26,324 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.