Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
0FAA delay programs right now
22%average chance of a late departure on Tuesday
2%average chance of a cancellation on Tuesday
Schedule: FAA flight plans for 22,346 flights; the other 5,994 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports right now
Forecasts for Tue, Oct 27, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
- Already departed
MIA
Miami
#1
Rough weather, no program posted yet
32%
leave 15+ min late
15%
cancelled, ~69 of 470
+16 pts above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 8 PM · 45%
37 kt gusts, 3500 ft ceiling, 0.47 in rain
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#2
Rough weather, no program posted yet
32%
leave 15+ min late
11%
cancelled, ~32 of 293
+12 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 9 PM · 42%
35 kt gusts, 3500 ft ceiling, 0.4 in rain
SFO
San Francisco
#3
28%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 613
+10 pts above normal
▲ 11 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 1 PM · 36%
22 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.01 in rain
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#4
27%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~3 of 284
+10 pts above normal
▲ 10 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 11 AM · 46%
10 kt gusts, high ceiling
DEN
Denver
#5
Rough weather, no program posted yet
27%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~9 of 1054
+9 pts above normal
▲ 10 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 9 AM · 37%
18 kt gusts, 200 ft ceiling
MCO
Orlando
#6
26%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~10 of 501
+12 pts above normal
▲ 8 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 11 AM · 40%
34 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.08 in rain
EWR
Newark
#7
26%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 651
+9 pts above normal
▲ 9 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 11 AM · 38%
13 kt gusts, high ceiling
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#8
25%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~11 of 1056
+6 pts above normal
▲ 5 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 10 AM · 36%
16 kt gusts, high ceiling
BOS
Boston Logan
#9
24%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 561
+10 pts above normal
▲ 10 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 11 AM · 40%
14 kt gusts, high ceiling
LAS
Las Vegas
#10
23%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 513
+5 pts above normal
▲ 5 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 4 PM · 30%
17 kt gusts, high ceiling
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#11
22%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 445
+10 pts above normal
▲ 7 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 10 AM · 33%
18 kt gusts, 800 ft ceiling, 0.4 in rain
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#12
21%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~14 of 1581
+5 pts above normal
▲ 6 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 10 AM · 30%
8 kt gusts, high ceiling
IAH
Houston Bush
#13
21%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~10 of 743
+6 pts above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 10 AM · 33%
10 kt gusts, high ceiling
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#14
20%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 541
+8 pts above normal
▲ 7 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 11 AM · 32%
15 kt gusts, high ceiling
PHX
Phoenix
#15
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 579
+3 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 29%
7 kt gusts, high ceiling
LAX
Los Angeles
#16
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 732
+3 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 8 AM · 23%
10 kt gusts, high ceiling
PHL
Philadelphia
#17
19%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~5 of 459
+4 pts above normal
▲ 5 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 11 AM · 27%
10 kt gusts, high ceiling
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#18
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 586
+5 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 22%
20 kt gusts, 1500 ft ceiling, 0.09 in rain
DCA
Washington National
#19
18%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 444
+3 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 10 AM · 24%
8 kt gusts, high ceiling
CLT
Charlotte
#20
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 685
+3 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 22%
10 kt gusts, high ceiling
DTW
Detroit
#21
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 459
+6 pts above normal
▲ 6 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 11 AM · 30%
12 kt gusts, high ceiling
ATL
Atlanta
#22
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~9 of 1091
+5 pts above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 11 AM · 24%
9 kt gusts, high ceiling
JFK
New York JFK
#23
15%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 546
+2 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 18%
15 kt gusts, high ceiling
IAD
Washington Dulles
#24
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 433
+1 pt above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 21%
9 kt gusts, high ceiling
SLC
Salt Lake City
#25
14%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 345
+4 pts above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
25%
Worst hour 9 AM · 23%
14 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.01 in rain
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA Miami | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 32% | +16 pts | 15% |
| 2 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 32% | +12 pts | 11% |
| 3 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 28% | +10 pts | 1% |
| 4 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 27% | +10 pts | 1% |
| 5 | DEN Denver | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 27% | +9 pts | <1% |
| 6 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 26% | +12 pts | 2% |
| 7 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 26% | +9 pts | 1% |
| 8 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 25% | +6 pts | 1% |
| 9 | BOS Boston Logan | Normal operations | 24% | +10 pts | <1% |
| 10 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 23% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 11 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 22% | +10 pts | <1% |
| 12 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Normal operations | 21% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 13 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 21% | +6 pts | 1% |
| 14 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Normal operations | 20% | +8 pts | 1% |
| 15 | PHX Phoenix | Normal operations | 20% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 16 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 19% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 17 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 19% | +4 pts | 1% |
| 18 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 19% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 19 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 18% | +3 pts | 1% |
| 20 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 18% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 21 | DTW Detroit | Normal operations | 17% | +6 pts | <1% |
| 22 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 15% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 23 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 15% | +2 pts | 1% |
| 24 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 15% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 25 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 14% | +4 pts | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: FAA flight plans for 22,346 flights; the other 5,994 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.