Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
0FAA delay programs right now
21%average chance of a late departure on Saturday
1%average chance of a cancellation on Saturday
Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for departures at these airports on a Saturday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years. They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports on Saturday, October 31
Typical odds for Sat, Oct 31, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#1
28%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~28 of 1251
+8 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 37%
Clear
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#2
26%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~12 of 1029
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 5 PM · 36%
Clear
EWR
Newark
#3
26%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~7 of 468
+7 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 39%
Clear
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#4
26%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~5 of 277
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 42%
Clear
MIA
Miami
#5
25%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 485
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 37%
Clear
CLT
Charlotte
#6
24%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 737
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 33%
Clear
PHL
Philadelphia
#7
22%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~5 of 426
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 10 PM · 32%
Clear
BOS
Boston Logan
#8
22%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~7 of 463
+8 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 9 PM · 36%
Clear
JFK
New York JFK
#9
22%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~7 of 513
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 31%
Clear
SFO
San Francisco
#10
21%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 516
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 2 PM · 29%
Clear
MCO
Orlando
#11
21%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 538
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 31%
Clear
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#12
21%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 241
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 36%
Clear
PHX
Phoenix
#13
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 536
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 31%
Clear
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#14
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 547
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 10 PM · 24%
Clear
DEN
Denver
#15
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 884
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 26%
Clear
IAH
Houston Bush
#16
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 559
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 1 PM · 28%
Clear
LAX
Los Angeles
#17
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 654
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 3 PM · 24%
Clear
DCA
Washington National
#18
20%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~5 of 330
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 9 PM · 30%
Clear
DTW
Detroit
#19
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 391
+6 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 27%
Clear
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#20
19%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~7 of 376
+8 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 5 PM · 27%
Clear
LAS
Las Vegas
#21
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 456
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 28%
Clear
IAD
Washington Dulles
#22
18%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 331
+6 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 26%
Clear
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#23
18%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~5 of 324
+6 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 28%
Clear
ATL
Atlanta
#24
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 979
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 25%
Clear
SLC
Salt Lake City
#25
12%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 313
+1 pt above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 18%
Clear
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Normal operations | 28% | +8 pts | 2% |
| 2 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 26% | +3 pts | 1% |
| 3 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 26% | +7 pts | 1% |
| 4 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Normal operations | 26% | +5 pts | 2% |
| 5 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 25% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 6 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 24% | +4 pts | 1% |
| 7 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 22% | +5 pts | 1% |
| 8 | BOS Boston Logan | Normal operations | 22% | +8 pts | 1% |
| 9 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 22% | +5 pts | 1% |
| 10 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 21% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 11 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 21% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 12 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 21% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 13 | PHX Phoenix | Normal operations | 20% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 14 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 20% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 15 | DEN Denver | Normal operations | 20% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 16 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 20% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 17 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 20% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 18 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 20% | +5 pts | 2% |
| 19 | DTW Detroit | Normal operations | 19% | +6 pts | <1% |
| 20 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 19% | +8 pts | 2% |
| 21 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 19% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 22 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 18% | +6 pts | 1% |
| 23 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Normal operations | 18% | +6 pts | 2% |
| 24 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 18% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 25 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 12% | +1 pt | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.