Will your flight be late?

Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.

0ground stops in effect right now
0FAA delay programs right now
26%average chance of a late departure on Sunday
1%average chance of a cancellation on Sunday

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for departures at these airports on a Sunday in November, from the weather this date has had in past years. They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

Airports on Sunday, November 1

Typical odds for Sun, Nov 1, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET.

  • Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
  • Extra today
SFO San Francisco #1
33% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~8 of 591
+9 pts above normal
Worst hour 3 PM · 44% Clear
EWR Newark #2
33% leave 15+ min late
2% cancelled, ~8 of 503
+8 pts above normal
Worst hour 8 PM · 53% Clear
ORD Chicago O'Hare #3
31% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~15 of 1284
+4 pts above normal
Worst hour 7 PM · 42% Clear
FLL Fort Lauderdale #4
30% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~4 of 335
+5 pts above normal
Worst hour 6 PM · 46% Clear
BWI Baltimore/Washington #5
30% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~3 of 293
+4 pts above normal
Worst hour 10 PM · 51% Clear
DFW Dallas–Fort Worth #6
29% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~13 of 1049
+3 pts above normal
Worst hour 8 PM · 38% Clear
LAS Las Vegas #7
28% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~5 of 610
+2 pts above normal
Worst hour 7 PM · 47% Clear
MCO Orlando #8
27% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~6 of 553
+5 pts above normal
Worst hour 9 PM · 46% Clear
PHX Phoenix #9
27% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~5 of 666
+1 pt above normal
Worst hour 10 PM · 44% Clear
LAX Los Angeles #10
27% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~8 of 749
+3 pts above normal
Worst hour 10 PM · 36% Clear
LGA New York LaGuardia #11
26% leave 15+ min late
2% cancelled, ~11 of 489
+10 pts above normal
Worst hour 7 PM · 43% Clear
JFK New York JFK #12
26% leave 15+ min late
2% cancelled, ~9 of 533
+7 pts above normal
Worst hour 6 PM · 37% Clear
DEN Denver #13
26% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~7 of 965
+3 pts above normal
Worst hour 6 PM · 40% Clear
MIA Miami #14
26% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~4 of 481
+1 pt above normal
Worst hour 7 PM · 36% Clear
BOS Boston Logan #15
26% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~8 of 542
+7 pts above normal
Worst hour 8 PM · 41% Clear
PHL Philadelphia #16
25% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~6 of 450
+5 pts above normal
Worst hour 6 PM · 38% Clear
DCA Washington National #17
25% leave 15+ min late
2% cancelled, ~7 of 422
+6 pts above normal
Worst hour 6 PM · 36% Clear
IAH Houston Bush #18
24% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~6 of 612
+5 pts above normal
Worst hour 7 PM · 36% Clear
CLT Charlotte #19
23% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~9 of 754
+3 pts above normal
Worst hour 9 PM · 32% Clear
SEA Seattle–Tacoma #20
23% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~6 of 591
+6 pts above normal
Worst hour 9 PM · 29% Clear
ATL Atlanta #21
22% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~9 of 1131
+3 pts above normal
Worst hour 6 PM · 33% Clear
DTW Detroit #22
22% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~5 of 453
+6 pts above normal
Worst hour 5 PM · 32% Clear
MSP Minneapolis–St Paul #23
20% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~4 of 459
+5 pts above normal
Worst hour 4 PM · 27% Clear
IAD Washington Dulles #24
19% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~4 of 363
+4 pts above normal
Worst hour 6 PM · 28% Clear
SLC Salt Lake City #25
18% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~2 of 366
+2 pts above normal
Worst hour 7 PM · 33% Clear
Table view
#AirportFAA status Late departureVs. normalCancelled
1SFO San Francisco Normal operations33%+9 pts 1%
2EWR Newark Normal operations33%+8 pts 2%
3ORD Chicago O'Hare Normal operations31%+4 pts 1%
4FLL Fort Lauderdale Normal operations30%+5 pts 1%
5BWI Baltimore/Washington Normal operations30%+4 pts 1%
6DFW Dallas–Fort Worth Normal operations29%+3 pts 1%
7LAS Las Vegas Normal operations28%+2 pts <1%
8MCO Orlando Normal operations27%+5 pts 1%
9PHX Phoenix Normal operations27%+1 pt <1%
10LAX Los Angeles Normal operations27%+3 pts 1%
11LGA New York LaGuardia Normal operations26%+10 pts 2%
12JFK New York JFK Normal operations26%+7 pts 2%
13DEN Denver Normal operations26%+3 pts <1%
14MIA Miami Normal operations26%+1 pt <1%
15BOS Boston Logan Normal operations26%+7 pts 1%
16PHL Philadelphia Normal operations25%+5 pts 1%
17DCA Washington National Normal operations25%+6 pts 2%
18IAH Houston Bush Normal operations24%+5 pts <1%
19CLT Charlotte Normal operations23%+3 pts 1%
20SEA Seattle–Tacoma Normal operations23%+6 pts <1%
21ATL Atlanta Normal operations22%+3 pts <1%
22DTW Detroit Normal operations22%+6 pts 1%
23MSP Minneapolis–St Paul Normal operations20%+5 pts <1%
24IAD Washington Dulles Normal operations19%+4 pts 1%
25SLC Salt Lake City Normal operations18%+2 pts <1%

“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

Questions people are watching

Will a typical LGA departure be cancelled Sunday?LGA · New York LaGuardia 2% Yes 2% No 98% Will a typical DCA departure be cancelled Sunday?DCA · Washington National 2% Yes 2% No 98% Will a typical EWR departure be cancelled Sunday?EWR · Newark 2% Yes 2% No 98% Will a typical JFK departure be cancelled Sunday?JFK · New York JFK 2% Yes 2% No 98%