tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Significant Resolved Delay AUS arrivals

Austin arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View AUSFlights at AUS

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Austin arrivals running late: 47% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 19 arrivals that landed between 11:56 AM and 12:56 PM CDT, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Austin arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:56 AM–12:56 PM CDT
    Sample19 flights, 9 late (47%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay12.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-23 17:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Austin arrival delays worsen: 63% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 47% → 63%

    Of 19 arrivals that landed between 1:43 PM and 2:43 PM CDT, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Austin arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window1:43 PM–2:43 PM CDT
    Sample19 flights, 12 late (63%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay27.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-23 19:43 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Austin arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 63% → 50%

    Of 28 arrivals that landed between 9:28 PM and 10:28 PM CDT, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Austin arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:28 PM–10:28 PM CDT
    Sample28 flights, 14 late (50%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay22.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-24 03:28 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Oct 24, 7:38 AM CDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.