tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 2 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 2 hLightning 1 minWeather observations 3 minFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 3 min
Observed Major Resolved Delay AUS departures

Austin departure delays worsen: 76% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View AUSFlights at AUS

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Austin departures running late: 62% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 16 departures that took off between 12:53 PM and 1:53 PM CDT, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:53 PM–1:53 PM CDT
    Sample16 flights, 10 late (62%)
    Comparison27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour
    Median delay33.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-23 18:53 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?
  2. De-escalation Observed

    Austin departure delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 62% → 58%

    Of 19 departures that took off between 1:14 PM and 2:14 PM CDT, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window1:14 PM–2:14 PM CDT
    Sample19 flights, 11 late (58%)
    Comparison27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour
    Median delay29.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-23 19:14 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?
  3. Escalation Observed

    Austin departure delays worsen: 76% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 58% → 76%

    Of 17 departures that took off between 2:46 PM and 3:46 PM CDT, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:46 PM–3:46 PM CDT
    Sample17 flights, 13 late (76%)
    Comparison32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour
    Median delay43.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-23 20:46 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Sat Oct 24, 5:27 AM CDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.