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Observed Significant Resolved Delay SAN departures

San Diego departures back near normal: 15% late in the last hour

Current state: Resolved at 11:26 PM PDT
Started: Sat Oct 17, 11:07 AM PDT
Latest activity: Sat Oct 17, 11:26 PM PDT
Updates: 8

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

Initial Observed Sat Oct 17, 11:07 AM PDT

San Diego departures running late: 53% left 15+ min late in the last hour

Of 17 departures that took off between 10:07 AM and 11:07 AM PDT, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

Evidence for this update

Measurement window	10:07 AM–11:07 AM PDT
Sample	17 flights, 9 late (53%)
Comparison	20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
Median delay	15.0 min
Method	FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
Source event time	Sat Oct 17, 11:07 AM PDT
Ingested	Sat Oct 17, 11:07 AM PDT
Published here	Sat Oct 17, 11:07 AM PDT (2026-10-17 18:07 UTC)
Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
Provenance	observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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Escalation Observed Sat Oct 17, 11:31 AM PDT

San Diego departure delays worsen: 67% late in the last hour

What changed: late share 53% → 67%

Of 15 departures that took off between 10:31 AM and 11:31 AM PDT, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

Evidence for this update

Measurement window	10:31 AM–11:31 AM PDT
Sample	15 flights, 10 late (67%)
Comparison	23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour
Median delay	34.0 min
Method	FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
Source event time	Sat Oct 17, 11:31 AM PDT
Ingested	Sat Oct 17, 11:31 AM PDT
Published here	Sat Oct 17, 11:31 AM PDT (2026-10-17 18:31 UTC)
Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
Provenance	observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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De-escalation Observed Sat Oct 17, 1:50 PM PDT

San Diego departure delays ease: 65% late in the last hour, still above normal

What changed: late share 67% → 65%

Of 20 departures that took off between 12:50 PM and 1:50 PM PDT, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

Evidence for this update

Measurement window	12:50 PM–1:50 PM PDT
Sample	20 flights, 13 late (65%)
Comparison	34% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour
Median delay	48.0 min
Method	FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
Source event time	Sat Oct 17, 1:50 PM PDT
Ingested	Sat Oct 17, 1:50 PM PDT
Published here	Sat Oct 17, 1:50 PM PDT (2026-10-17 20:50 UTC)
Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
Provenance	observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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Escalation Observed Sat Oct 17, 2:16 PM PDT

San Diego departure delays worsen: 74% late in the last hour

What changed: late share 65% → 74%

Of 23 departures that took off between 1:16 PM and 2:16 PM PDT, 17 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

Evidence for this update

Measurement window	1:16 PM–2:16 PM PDT
Sample	23 flights, 17 late (74%)
Comparison	34% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour
Median delay	61.0 min
Method	FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
Source event time	Sat Oct 17, 2:16 PM PDT
Ingested	Sat Oct 17, 2:16 PM PDT
Published here	Sat Oct 17, 2:16 PM PDT (2026-10-17 21:16 UTC)
Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
Provenance	observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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De-escalation Observed Sat Oct 17, 5:48 PM PDT

San Diego departure delays ease: 53% late in the last hour, still above normal

What changed: late share 74% → 53%

Of 15 departures that took off between 4:48 PM and 5:48 PM PDT, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

Evidence for this update

Measurement window	4:48 PM–5:48 PM PDT
Sample	15 flights, 8 late (53%)
Comparison	33% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour
Median delay	15.0 min
Method	FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
Source event time	Sat Oct 17, 5:48 PM PDT
Ingested	Sat Oct 17, 5:48 PM PDT
Published here	Sat Oct 17, 5:48 PM PDT (2026-10-18 00:48 UTC)
Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
Provenance	observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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Escalation Observed Sat Oct 17, 7:16 PM PDT

San Diego departure delays worsen: 73% late in the last hour

What changed: late share 53% → 73%

Of 22 departures that took off between 6:16 PM and 7:16 PM PDT, 16 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 37% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

Evidence for this update

Measurement window	6:16 PM–7:16 PM PDT
Sample	22 flights, 16 late (73%)
Comparison	37% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour
Median delay	37.0 min
Method	FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
Source event time	Sat Oct 17, 7:16 PM PDT
Ingested	Sat Oct 17, 7:16 PM PDT
Published here	Sat Oct 17, 7:16 PM PDT (2026-10-18 02:16 UTC)
Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
Provenance	observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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De-escalation Observed Sat Oct 17, 8:03 PM PDT

San Diego departure delays ease: 70% late in the last hour, still above normal

What changed: late share 73% → 70%

Of 20 departures that took off between 7:03 PM and 8:03 PM PDT, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 38% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

Evidence for this update

Measurement window	7:03 PM–8:03 PM PDT
Sample	20 flights, 14 late (70%)
Comparison	38% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour
Median delay	49.0 min
Method	FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
Source event time	Sat Oct 17, 8:03 PM PDT
Ingested	Sat Oct 17, 8:03 PM PDT
Published here	Sat Oct 17, 8:03 PM PDT (2026-10-18 03:03 UTC)
Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
Provenance	observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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Recovery Observed Sat Oct 17, 11:26 PM PDT