Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 3% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 8:01 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 6
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 22 arrivals that landed between 12:39 PM and 1:39 PM MST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:39 PM–1:39 PM MST Sample 22 flights, 11 late (50%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 20.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-30 20:39 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 50% → 75%
Of 16 arrivals that landed between 12:59 PM and 1:59 PM MST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:59 PM–1:59 PM MST Sample 16 flights, 12 late (75%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 66.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-30 20:59 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays ease: 57% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 75% → 57%
Of 23 arrivals that landed between 3:39 PM and 4:39 PM MST, 13 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 3:39 PM–4:39 PM MST Sample 23 flights, 13 late (57%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 23.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-30 23:39 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 57% → 75%
Of 28 arrivals that landed between 4:00 PM and 5:00 PM MST, 21 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 4:00 PM–5:00 PM MST Sample 28 flights, 21 late (75%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 45.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-31 00:00 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 75% → 42%
Of 24 arrivals that landed between 10:31 PM and 11:31 PM MST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:31 PM–11:31 PM MST Sample 24 flights, 10 late (42%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 8.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-31 06:31 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 3% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 96% at worst → 3% now
Of 37 arrivals that landed between 7:01 AM and 8:01 AM MST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 7:01 AM–8:01 AM MST Sample 37 flights, 1 late (3%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -5.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-31 15:01 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?