Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday
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- Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 5 cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 66 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Monday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-02 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.3 over 66 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 1, 7:00 AM EST · 21.5 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3 Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 13:29 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday
What changed: about 5 → 8 expected cancellations since the 7:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 67 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Monday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-02 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~7.8 over 67 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 1, 8:00 AM EST · 20.5 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3 Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-01 14:29 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Updated model now expects about 5 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday
What changed: about 8 → 5 expected cancellations since the 8:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 66 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Monday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-02 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.2 over 66 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 1, 7:00 PM EST · 9.5 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 01:31 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Updated model now expects about 3 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday
What changed: about 5 → 3 expected cancellations since the 7:00 PM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 66 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Monday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-02 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~3.0 over 66 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Mon Nov 2, 1:00 AM EST · 4.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 06:59 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday
What changed: about 3 → 8 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 69 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Monday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-02 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~7.6 over 69 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Mon Nov 2, 4:00 AM EST · 0.3 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 10:42 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?
Closed Mon Nov 2, 6:00 AM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.