Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday to about 3
- Current state
- Resolved at 9:27 AM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 3
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 7 cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 59 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~6.6 over 59 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Mon Nov 2, 4:00 AM EST · 9.3 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 10:42 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Forecast
Updated model now expects about 4 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday
What changed: about 7 → 4 expected cancellations since the 4:00 AM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 59 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~3.6 over 59 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Mon Nov 2, 6:00 AM EST · 8.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 11:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday to about 3
What changed: about 4 → 3
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 59 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~2.5 over 59 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Mon Nov 2, 8:00 AM EST · 5.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 14:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?