tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 229 h staleForecast cycle 82 minLightning 229 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 4 min

FAA NAS status is stale (229 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (229 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

ConfirmedObserved Significant Resolved Weather MIA arrivals and departures

Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Miami

Current state
Resolved at 6:36 PM EST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Lightning within 10 nm of Miami: 3 flashes in 15 minutes

    Tailodds counted 3 lightning flashes within 10 nautical miles of Miami (MIA) in the 15 minutes to 3:55 PM EST, 0 of them within 5 nm, the nearest 8.7 nm away, in NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data. The latest official observation, at 2:53 PM EST, reports ceiling 7000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 15 kt.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KMIA 021953Z 10015KT 10SM SCT027 BKN070 BKN130 OVC200 28/22 A2994 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW SLP138 CB DSNT E-S-W-NW MOV NW T02830222 $
    StationKMIA at Mon Nov 2, 2:53 PM EST
    Lightning3 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 3:55 PM, nearest 8.7 nm
    BasisSatellite lightning (GOES GLM)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 20:55 UTC)
    SourcesNOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Confirmed

    Official observation now reports heavy thunderstorm with rain at Miami

    What changed: lightning within 10 nm → heavy thunderstorm with rain

    The 4:10 PM EST official weather observation (METAR) for Miami (MIA) reports heavy thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 2500 ft, visibility 7 mi, wind 15 kt gusting to 28 kt. Coded weather: “+TSRA”. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data, counted by Tailodds, shows 6 flashes within 10 nm of the airport in the 15 minutes to 4:20 PM EST, the nearest 7.3 nm away. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationSPECI KMIA 022110Z COR 26015G28KT 7SM +TSRA SCT020 BKN025CB OVC060 23/20 A2995 RMK AO2 PK WND 26028/2108 TSB10 OCNL LTGICCG OHD TS OHD MOV N CB DSNT NE AND E MOV NW P0012 T02280200 $
    StationKMIA at Mon Nov 2, 4:10 PM EST
    Lightning6 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 4:20 PM, nearest 7.3 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 21:20 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Confirmed

    Official observation now reports thunderstorm with rain at Miami

    What changed: heavy thunderstorm with rain → thunderstorm with rain

    The 4:53 PM EST official weather observation (METAR) for Miami (MIA) reports thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 13000 ft, visibility 9 mi, wind 7 kt. Coded weather: “TSRA”. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data, counted by Tailodds, shows 0 flashes within 10 nm of the airport in the 15 minutes to 5:01 PM EST. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KMIA 022153Z 34007KT 9SM TSRA SCT020CB SCT060 BKN130 OVC200 22/21 A2993 RMK AO2 PK WND 26028/2108 WSHFT 2105 TSB10 SLP136 OCNL LTGICCG S OCNL LTGIC DSNT N TS S MOV N CB DSNT N MOV N P0037 T02220211 $
    StationKMIA at Mon Nov 2, 4:53 PM EST
    Lightning0 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 5:01 PM, nearest 12.6 nm
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 22:01 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Resolution Confirmed

    Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm or nearby lightning at Miami

    What changed: thunderstorm with rain → no longer reported

    No official weather observation (METAR) for Miami (MIA) in the last 50 minutes reports a thunderstorm; it was last reported at 4:53 PM EST. The latest, at 5:53 PM EST, reports ceiling 2000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 7 kt. NOAA’s GOES satellite lightning data shows no flash within 10 nm of Miami in the 30 minutes to 6:36 PM EST.

    Evidence for this update
    Latest observationMETAR KMIA 022253Z 36007KT 10SM BKN020CB OVC034 22/21 A2996 RMK AO2 RAE50 TSE07 SLP145 TS DSIPTD CB ALQDS MOV NW P0033 T02220211 $
    StationKMIA at Mon Nov 2, 5:53 PM EST
    Lightning0 flashes within 10 nm, 0 within 5 nm, in the 15 min to 6:36 PM
    BasisOfficial observation (METAR)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 23:36 UTC)
    SourcesOfficial weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗
    NOAA GOES satellite lightning data, flashes counted by Tailodds (supporting)
    Provenanceweather weather-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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