tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 229 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 229 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 5 min

FAA NAS status is stale (229 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (229 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Forecast Significant Resolved Cancellation MIA departures

Model expects about 5 cancellations among Miami departures 9 PM–midnight Monday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
Started
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Updates
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Create monitor View MIAFlights at MIA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 5 cancellations among Miami departures 9 PM–midnight Monday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 83 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Monday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 4. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetMIA departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-02 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~5.0 over 83 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonMon Nov 2, 5:00 PM EST · 3.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 22:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Mon Nov 2, 9:01 PM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.