tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 229 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 229 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 5 min

FAA NAS status is stale (229 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (229 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Forecast Significant Resolved Cancellation MIA departures

Model expects about 14 cancellations among Miami departures 6–9 PM Monday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
Started
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Create monitor View MIAFlights at MIA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 14 cancellations among Miami departures 6–9 PM Monday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 14 of the 151 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Monday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 16. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetMIA departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~14.3 over 151 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonMon Nov 2, 5:00 PM EST · 0.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 22:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Mon Nov 2, 6:01 PM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.