tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 222 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 222 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 1 min

FAA NAS status is stale (222 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (222 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay TPA departures

Tampa departure delays ease: 67% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View TPAFlights at TPA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Tampa departures running late: 58% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 12 departures that took off between 2:24 PM and 3:24 PM EST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Tampa typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:24 PM–3:24 PM EST
    Sample12 flights, 7 late (58%)
    Comparison28% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour
    Median delay20.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-06 20:24 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Tampa departure delays worsen: 85% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 58% → 85%

    Of 13 departures that took off between 5:59 PM and 6:59 PM EST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Tampa typically sees 37% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:59 PM–6:59 PM EST
    Sample13 flights, 11 late (85%)
    Comparison37% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour
    Median delay37.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-06 23:59 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Tampa departure delays ease: 67% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 85% → 67%

    Of 21 departures that took off between 6:48 PM and 7:48 PM EST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. Tampa typically sees 36% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:48 PM–7:48 PM EST
    Sample21 flights, 14 late (67%)
    Comparison36% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour
    Median delay28.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 00:48 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Nov 7, 4:40 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.