tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 222 h staleForecast cycle 57 minLightning 222 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 2 min

FAA NAS status is stale (222 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (222 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Major Resolved Delay TPA arrivals

Tampa arrival delays worsen: 62% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
Create monitor View TPAFlights at TPA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Tampa arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 16 arrivals that landed between 3:23 PM and 4:23 PM EST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Tampa arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:23 PM–4:23 PM EST
    Sample16 flights, 8 late (50%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay31.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-06 21:23 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Tampa arrival delays worsen: 62% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 50% → 62%

    Of 13 arrivals that landed between 6:01 PM and 7:01 PM EST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Tampa arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:01 PM–7:01 PM EST
    Sample13 flights, 8 late (62%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay29.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 00:01 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Tampa arrival delays ease: 54% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 62% → 54%

    Of 13 arrivals that landed between 7:35 PM and 8:35 PM EST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Tampa arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:35 PM–8:35 PM EST
    Sample13 flights, 7 late (54%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay27.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 01:35 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    Tampa arrival delays worsen: 62% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 54% → 62%

    Of 16 arrivals that landed between 11:30 PM and 12:30 AM EST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Tampa arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:30 PM–12:30 AM EST
    Sample16 flights, 10 late (62%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay21.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 05:30 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Sat Nov 7, 7:11 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.