tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 1 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 85 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 1 minFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 2 min
Forecast Significant Resolved Cancellation EWR departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Newark departures 6–9 AM Saturday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among Newark departures 6–9 AM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 107 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetEWR departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-07 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~5.5 over 107 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 6, 8:00 PM EST · 8.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 02:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Nov 7, 6:01 AM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.