tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 222 h staleForecast cycle 61 minLightning 222 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 6 min

FAA NAS status is stale (222 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (222 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay EWR departures

Newark departure delays ease: 62% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Newark departures running late: 88% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 16 departures that took off between 8:11 AM and 9:11 AM EST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. Newark typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window8:11 AM–9:11 AM EST
    Sample16 flights, 14 late (88%)
    Comparison13% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour
    Median delay34.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-06 14:11 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. De-escalation Observed

    Newark departure delays ease: 52% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 88% → 52%

    Of 29 departures that took off between 5:06 PM and 6:06 PM EST, 15 left at least 15 minutes late. Newark typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:06 PM–6:06 PM EST
    Sample29 flights, 15 late (52%)
    Comparison27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour
    Median delay19.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-06 23:06 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. Escalation Observed

    Newark departure delays worsen: 66% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 52% → 66%

    Of 29 departures that took off between 8:41 PM and 9:41 PM EST, 19 left at least 15 minutes late. Newark typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window8:41 PM–9:41 PM EST
    Sample29 flights, 19 late (66%)
    Comparison29% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour
    Median delay38.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 02:41 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. De-escalation Observed

    Newark departure delays ease: 62% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 66% → 62%

    Of 26 departures that took off between 9:40 PM and 10:40 PM EST, 16 left at least 15 minutes late. Newark typically sees 39% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:40 PM–10:40 PM EST
    Sample26 flights, 16 late (62%)
    Comparison39% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour
    Median delay64.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-07 03:40 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Nov 7, 5:21 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.