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Observed Major Resolved Delay AUS departures

Austin departure delays worsen: 87% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
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Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Austin departures running late: 56% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 16 departures that took off between 1:08 PM and 2:08 PM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window1:08 PM–2:08 PM CST
    Sample16 flights, 9 late (56%)
    Comparison27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour
    Median delay22.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-08 20:08 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Austin departure delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 56% → 75%

    Of 16 departures that took off between 2:35 PM and 3:35 PM CST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:35 PM–3:35 PM CST
    Sample16 flights, 12 late (75%)
    Comparison32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour
    Median delay24.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-08 21:35 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Austin departure delays ease: 56% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 75% → 56%

    Of 16 departures that took off between 3:10 PM and 4:10 PM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:10 PM–4:10 PM CST
    Sample16 flights, 9 late (56%)
    Comparison32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour
    Median delay25.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-08 22:10 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    Austin departure delays worsen: 87% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 56% → 87%

    Of 15 departures that took off between 4:06 PM and 5:06 PM CST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 37% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window4:06 PM–5:06 PM CST
    Sample15 flights, 13 late (87%)
    Comparison37% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour
    Median delay36.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-08 23:06 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Mon Nov 9, 4:01 AM CST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.