tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 3 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 58 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 4 minFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 4 min
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation AUS departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Austin departures 6–9 PM Friday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among Austin departures 6–9 PM Friday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 45 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetAUS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~6.0 over 45 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 5:00 PM CST · 0.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 23:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Nov 13, 6:01 PM CST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.