tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Major Resolved Delay AUS departures

Austin departure delays worsen: 74% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
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Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Austin departures running late: 54% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 13 departures that took off between 12:11 PM and 1:11 PM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:11 PM–1:11 PM CST
    Sample13 flights, 7 late (54%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour
    Median delay18.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 19:11 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Austin departure delays worsen: 74% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 54% → 74%

    Of 19 departures that took off between 12:50 PM and 1:50 PM CST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:50 PM–1:50 PM CST
    Sample19 flights, 14 late (74%)
    Comparison27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour
    Median delay23.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 19:50 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Fri Nov 13, 9:11 PM CST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.