SFO arrivals back near normal: 5% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 7:19 AM PDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 4
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
SFO arrivals running late: 62% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 37 arrivals that landed between 8:04 PM and 9:04 PM PDT, 23 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 8:04 PM–9:04 PM PDT Sample 37 flights, 23 late (62%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 22.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 04:04 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
SFO arrival delays worsen: 71% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 62% → 71%
Of 28 arrivals that landed between 10:14 PM and 11:14 PM PDT, 20 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:14 PM–11:14 PM PDT Sample 28 flights, 20 late (71%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 56.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 06:14 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
SFO arrival delays ease: 61% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 71% → 61%
Of 23 arrivals that landed between 11:03 PM and 12:03 AM PDT, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:03 PM–12:03 AM PDT Sample 23 flights, 14 late (61%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 43.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 07:03 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
SFO arrivals back near normal: 5% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 77% at worst → 5% now
Of 20 arrivals that landed between 6:19 AM and 7:19 AM PDT, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 6:19 AM–7:19 AM PDT Sample 20 flights, 1 late (5%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -18.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 14:19 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?