SFO arrivals back near normal: 16% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 8:00 PM PDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 6
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
SFO arrivals running late: 57% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 35 arrivals that landed between 8:56 AM and 9:56 AM PDT, 20 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 8:56 AM–9:56 AM PDT Sample 35 flights, 20 late (57%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 16.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 16:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
SFO arrival delays worsen: 69% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 57% → 69%
Of 32 arrivals that landed between 11:07 AM and 12:07 PM PDT, 22 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:07 AM–12:07 PM PDT Sample 32 flights, 22 late (69%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 51.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 19:07 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
SFO arrival delays ease: 66% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 69% → 66%
Of 32 arrivals that landed between 12:27 PM and 1:27 PM PDT, 21 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:27 PM–1:27 PM PDT Sample 32 flights, 21 late (66%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 34.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 20:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
SFO arrival delays worsen: 77% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 66% → 77%
Of 35 arrivals that landed between 12:48 PM and 1:48 PM PDT, 27 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:48 PM–1:48 PM PDT Sample 35 flights, 27 late (77%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 39.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 20:48 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
SFO arrival delays ease: 44% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 77% → 44%
Of 32 arrivals that landed between 1:51 PM and 2:51 PM PDT, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 1:51 PM–2:51 PM PDT Sample 32 flights, 14 late (44%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 12.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 21:51 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
SFO arrivals back near normal: 16% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 81% at worst → 16% now
Of 31 arrivals that landed between 7:00 PM and 8:00 PM PDT, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 31% of arrivals at SFO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 7:00 PM–8:00 PM PDT Sample 31 flights, 5 late (16%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -9.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-20 03:00 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?