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Observed Significant Resolved Delay SFO departures

SFO departures back near normal: 25% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 7:34 PM PDT
Started
Latest activity
Updates
8
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    SFO departures running late: 63% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 30 departures that took off between 11:20 AM and 12:20 PM PDT, 19 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:20 AM–12:20 PM PDT
    Sample30 flights, 19 late (63%)
    Comparison28% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour
    Median delay25.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-19 19:20 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays worsen: 73% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 63% → 73%

    Of 33 departures that took off between 12:56 PM and 1:56 PM PDT, 24 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window12:56 PM–1:56 PM PDT
    Sample33 flights, 24 late (73%)
    Comparison29% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour
    Median delay41.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-19 20:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 73% → 58%

    Of 31 departures that took off between 1:37 PM and 2:37 PM PDT, 18 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window1:37 PM–2:37 PM PDT
    Sample31 flights, 18 late (58%)
    Comparison32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour
    Median delay17.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-19 21:37 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays worsen: 69% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 58% → 69%

    Of 36 departures that took off between 2:22 PM and 3:22 PM PDT, 25 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 32% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:22 PM–3:22 PM PDT
    Sample36 flights, 25 late (69%)
    Comparison32% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour
    Median delay35.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-19 22:22 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  5. De-escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 69% → 42%

    Of 24 departures that took off between 3:52 PM and 4:52 PM PDT, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:52 PM–4:52 PM PDT
    Sample24 flights, 10 late (42%)
    Comparison29% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour
    Median delay5.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-19 23:52 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  6. Escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays worsen: 73% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 42% → 73%

    Of 33 departures that took off between 5:12 PM and 6:12 PM PDT, 24 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:12 PM–6:12 PM PDT
    Sample33 flights, 24 late (73%)
    Comparison31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour
    Median delay24.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-20 01:12 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  7. De-escalation Observed

    SFO departure delays ease: 48% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 73% → 48%

    Of 21 departures that took off between 5:53 PM and 6:53 PM PDT, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:53 PM–6:53 PM PDT
    Sample21 flights, 10 late (48%)
    Comparison24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour
    Median delay10.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-20 01:53 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  8. Recovery Observed

    SFO departures back near normal: 25% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 85% at worst → 25% now

    Of 32 departures that took off between 6:34 PM and 7:34 PM PDT, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 25% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:34 PM–7:34 PM PDT
    Sample32 flights, 8 late (25%)
    Comparison25% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour
    Median delay2.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-20 02:34 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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