tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 5 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 83 minLightning 3 minWeather observations 4 minFAA surface data 8 minFAA flight data 9 min
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation ATL departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among Atlanta departures midnight–3 AM Saturday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 7 cancellations among Atlanta departures midnight–3 AM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 19 departures scheduled midnight–3 AM Saturday to be cancelled (39%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 11:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetATL departures midnight–3 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~7.5 over 19 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 11:00 PM EST · 0.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 04:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Nov 14, 12:01 AM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.