Model lowers Atlanta departure delay risk 6–9 AM Sunday to 32%, near normal
- Current state
- Resolved at 5:55 AM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model forecasts 43% delay risk for Atlanta departures 6–9 AM Sunday
Tailodds’ model gives the 160 departures scheduled from Atlanta 6–9 AM Sunday an average 43% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 12%. From the 8:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target ATL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 43% over 160 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 8:00 PM EST · 8.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 02:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers Atlanta departure delay risk 6–9 AM Sunday to 32%, near normal
What changed: 43% → 32%; calm-weather level 12%
Tailodds’ model gives the 163 departures scheduled from Atlanta 6–9 AM Sunday an average 32% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 12%. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target ATL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 32% over 163 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sun Nov 15, 5:00 AM EST · 0.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 10:55 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?