Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among San Diego departures 6–9 AM Sunday
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 5 cancellations among San Diego departures 6–9 AM Sunday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 75 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SAN departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.2 over 75 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 6:00 PM PST · 11.0 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 02:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among San Diego departures 6–9 AM Sunday
What changed: about 5 → 11 expected cancellations since the 6:00 PM PST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 75 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target SAN departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-15 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~11.4 over 75 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Nov 14, 7:00 PM PST · 10.0 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-15 03:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?