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Observed Major Developing Delay SAN departures

San Diego departure delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour

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Developing
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    San Diego departures running late: 43% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 14 departures that took off between 9:33 AM and 10:33 AM PST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:33 AM–10:33 AM PST
    Sample14 flights, 6 late (43%)
    Comparison20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
    Median delay3.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 18:33 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    San Diego departure delays worsen: 60% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 43% → 60%

    Of 15 departures that took off between 10:10 AM and 11:10 AM PST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:10 AM–11:10 AM PST
    Sample15 flights, 9 late (60%)
    Comparison20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
    Median delay64.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 19:10 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    San Diego departure delays ease: 44% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 60% → 44%

    Of 18 departures that took off between 10:36 AM and 11:36 AM PST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:36 AM–11:36 AM PST
    Sample18 flights, 8 late (44%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour
    Median delay14.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 19:36 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    San Diego departure delays worsen: 73% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 44% → 73%

    Of 15 departures that took off between 2:00 PM and 3:00 PM PST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:00 PM–3:00 PM PST
    Sample15 flights, 11 late (73%)
    Comparison34% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour
    Median delay35.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 23:00 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  5. De-escalation Observed

    San Diego departure delays ease: 64% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 73% → 64%

    Of 14 departures that took off between 2:35 PM and 3:35 PM PST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:35 PM–3:35 PM PST
    Sample14 flights, 9 late (64%)
    Comparison33% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour
    Median delay39.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 23:35 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  6. Escalation Observed

    San Diego departure delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 64% → 75%

    Of 12 departures that took off between 9:07 PM and 10:07 PM PST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:07 PM–10:07 PM PST
    Sample12 flights, 9 late (75%)
    Comparison31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour
    Median delay105.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 06:07 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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