Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:03 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 12
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix departures running late: 48% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 40 departures that took off between 7:46 AM and 8:46 AM MST, 19 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 12% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 7:46 AM–8:46 AM MST Sample 40 flights, 19 late (48%) Comparison 12% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour Median delay 12.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 15:46 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 48% → 72%
Of 46 departures that took off between 9:15 AM and 10:15 AM MST, 33 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:15 AM–10:15 AM MST Sample 46 flights, 33 late (72%) Comparison 16% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour Median delay 26.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 17:15 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 48% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 72% → 48%
Of 40 departures that took off between 9:52 AM and 10:52 AM MST, 19 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:52 AM–10:52 AM MST Sample 40 flights, 19 late (48%) Comparison 17% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour Median delay 12.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 17:52 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 74% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 48% → 74%
Of 46 departures that took off between 10:41 AM and 11:41 AM MST, 34 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:41 AM–11:41 AM MST Sample 46 flights, 34 late (74%) Comparison 21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour Median delay 25.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 18:41 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 74% → 50%
Of 28 departures that took off between 11:53 AM and 12:53 PM MST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 22% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:53 AM–12:53 PM MST Sample 28 flights, 14 late (50%) Comparison 22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour Median delay 27.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 19:53 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 70% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 50% → 70%
Of 37 departures that took off between 12:32 PM and 1:32 PM MST, 26 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:32 PM–1:32 PM MST Sample 37 flights, 26 late (70%) Comparison 24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour Median delay 41.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 20:32 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 55% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 70% → 55%
Of 20 departures that took off between 2:59 PM and 3:59 PM MST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 2:59 PM–3:59 PM MST Sample 20 flights, 11 late (55%) Comparison 29% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour Median delay 20.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 22:59 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 71% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 55% → 71%
Of 42 departures that took off between 4:15 PM and 5:15 PM MST, 30 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 4:15 PM–5:15 PM MST Sample 42 flights, 30 late (71%) Comparison 30% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour Median delay 30.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 00:15 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 68% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 71% → 68%
Of 25 departures that took off between 6:16 PM and 7:16 PM MST, 17 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 36% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 6:16 PM–7:16 PM MST Sample 25 flights, 17 late (68%) Comparison 36% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour Median delay 27.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 02:16 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 79% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 68% → 79%
Of 29 departures that took off between 9:03 PM and 10:03 PM MST, 23 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:03 PM–10:03 PM MST Sample 29 flights, 23 late (79%) Comparison 34% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour Median delay 36.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 05:03 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 62% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 79% → 62%
Of 34 departures that took off between 9:50 PM and 10:50 PM MST, 21 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:50 PM–10:50 PM MST Sample 34 flights, 21 late (62%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour Median delay 27.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 05:50 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 86% at worst → 0% now
Of 20 departures that took off between 5:03 AM and 6:03 AM MST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:03 AM–6:03 AM MST Sample 20 flights, 0 late (0%) Comparison 5% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 AM hour Median delay -5.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 13:03 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?