Phoenix aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 19 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 4:33 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 8
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix: 15 of 44 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 66 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 9:07 AM and 10:37 AM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 44. For 15 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 6 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 9:07 AM–10:37 AM MST · 66 departures, aircraft known for 44 Tight turns 15 (34%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 6 not taken off · 8 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 3322 to SNA at 9:08 AM: aircraft N952WN, inbound WN 2371 from LAS (not departed), -51 min to turn Tightest WN 4709 to ATL at 9:26 AM: aircraft N8851Q, inbound WN 4663 from SFO (airborne), -26 min to turn Tightest OO 3144 to SAN at 10:15 AM: aircraft N176SY, inbound OO 3144 from SAN (not departed), -24 min to turn Tightest WN 4913 to SLC at 10:20 AM: aircraft N8785L, inbound WN 1728 from DEN (not departed), -20 min to turn Tightest WN 1717 to DEN at 9:07 AM: aircraft N445WN, inbound WN 893 from BUR (airborne), -14 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 16:07 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 17 of 35 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 34% → 49%
Of the 47 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 11:26 AM and 12:56 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 35. For 17 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 3 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 11:26 AM–12:56 PM MST · 47 departures, aircraft known for 35 Tight turns 17 (49%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 3 not taken off · 10 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 856 to SAT at 12:54 PM: aircraft N245WN, inbound WN 856 from BUR (not departed), -53 min to turn Tightest WN 4328 to BNA at 11:51 AM: aircraft N8610A, inbound WN 4328 from SAN (not departed), -38 min to turn Tightest WN 4948 to ABQ at 11:30 AM: aircraft N8867Q, inbound WN 5030 from AUS (airborne), -35 min to turn Tightest WN 4208 to SMF at 11:37 AM: aircraft N946WN, inbound WN 4208 from TUL (airborne), -14 min to turn Tightest OO 6220 to PSC at 12:19 PM: aircraft N246LR, inbound OO 6308 from NYL (not departed), -10 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 18:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 12 of 36 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 49% → 33%
Of the 49 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 11:49 AM and 1:19 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 36. For 12 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 4 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 11:49 AM–1:19 PM MST · 49 departures, aircraft known for 36 Tight turns 12 (33%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 4 not taken off · 8 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 856 to SAT at 12:54 PM: aircraft N245WN, inbound WN 856 from BUR (not departed), -83 min to turn Tightest WN 4328 to BNA at 11:51 AM: aircraft N8610A, inbound WN 4328 from SAN (airborne), -37 min to turn Tightest OO 6220 to PSC at 12:19 PM: aircraft N246LR, inbound OO 6308 from NYL (not departed), -10 min to turn Tightest WN 133 to STL at 12:49 PM: aircraft N8508W, inbound WN 2569 from LGB (not departed), -5 min to turn Tightest WN 456 to OMA at 11:53 AM: aircraft N9008, inbound WN 4307 from SEA (airborne), 3 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 18:49 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 20 of 42 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 33% → 48%
Of the 56 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 12:20 PM and 1:50 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 42. For 20 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 12:20 PM–1:50 PM MST · 56 departures, aircraft known for 42 Tight turns 20 (48%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 2 not taken off · 14 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest AA 3227 to MSY at 12:25 PM: aircraft N650AW, inbound AA 414 from SFO (airborne), -18 min to turn Tightest WN 856 to SAT at 12:54 PM: aircraft N245WN, inbound WN 856 from BUR (airborne), -6 min to turn Tightest F9 1571 to SAN at 1:03 PM: aircraft N405FR, inbound F9 4048 from LAS (not departed), -5 min to turn Tightest WN 133 to STL at 12:49 PM: aircraft N8508W, inbound WN 2569 from LGB (airborne), -4 min to turn Tightest WN 1915 to BUF at 12:58 PM: aircraft N8307K, inbound WN 1400 from LAS (airborne), -3 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 19:20 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 15 of 45 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 48% → 33%
Of the 54 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 1:17 PM and 2:47 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 45. For 15 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 1:17 PM–2:47 PM MST · 54 departures, aircraft known for 45 Tight turns 15 (33%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 8 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest OO 4995 to DSM at 1:20 PM: aircraft N509SY, inbound OO 5003 from DRO (airborne), 6 min to turn Tightest AA 3231 to DCA at 1:17 PM: aircraft N337TN, inbound AA 1218 from DCA (landed), 10 min to turn Tightest MQ 4220 to SMF at 1:36 PM: aircraft N234JW, inbound MQ 3455 from SAF (airborne), 13 min to turn Tightest WN 3475 to RNO at 1:51 PM: aircraft N8944Q, inbound WN 2592 from HOU (airborne), 14 min to turn Tightest MQ 3757 to STS at 1:34 PM: aircraft N252NN, inbound MQ 4024 from NYL (landed), 16 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-22 20:17 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 17 of 33 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 33% → 52%
Of the 47 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 7:00 PM and 8:30 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 33. For 17 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 3 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 7:00 PM–8:30 PM MST · 47 departures, aircraft known for 33 Tight turns 17 (52%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 3 not taken off · 9 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 1589 to OMA at 7:05 PM: aircraft N7831B, inbound WN 1589 from LAS (not departed), -69 min to turn Tightest F9 3983 to LAS at 7:28 PM: aircraft N701FR, inbound F9 1020 from LAS (not departed), -23 min to turn Tightest WN 3493 to STL at 8:24 PM: aircraft N8311Q, inbound WN 4710 from SAN (not departed), -20 min to turn Tightest WN 3469 to PDX at 7:33 PM: aircraft N8825Q, inbound WN 3324 from PDX (airborne), -3 min to turn Tightest WN 3416 to LGB at 7:45 PM: aircraft N8918Q, inbound WN 4113 from STL (airborne), 6 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 02:00 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at Phoenix: 9 of 33 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 52% → 27%
Of the 45 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 7:43 PM and 9:13 PM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 33. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 7:43 PM–9:13 PM MST · 45 departures, aircraft known for 33 Tight turns 9 (27%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 1 not taken off · 5 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 3493 to STL at 8:24 PM: aircraft N8311Q, inbound WN 4710 from SAN (not departed), -13 min to turn Tightest WN 3416 to LGB at 7:45 PM: aircraft N8918Q, inbound WN 4113 from STL (airborne), 6 min to turn Tightest WN 3420 to HOU at 8:54 PM: aircraft N8737L, inbound WN 1305 from DAL (airborne), 13 min to turn Tightest WN 3961 to MDW at 7:55 PM: aircraft N8312C, inbound WN 3961 from SMF (landed), 16 min to turn Tightest MQ 4154 to CRQ at 8:39 PM: aircraft N279MQ, inbound MQ 3767 from CRQ (airborne), 16 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 02:43 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 19 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 59% at worst → 0% now
Of the 27 departures scheduled from Phoenix (PHX) between 4:33 AM and 6:03 AM MST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 19. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into PHX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 4:33 AM–6:03 AM MST · 27 departures, aircraft known for 19 Tight turns 0 (0%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 0 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 11:33 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?