Tailodds’ model gives the 55 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Friday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model forecasts 44% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Friday
44% riskTailodds’ model gives the 63 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale noon–3 PM Friday an average 44% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Model forecasts 40% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Friday
40% riskTailodds’ model gives the 73 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 9 AM–noon Friday an average 40% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale arrival delays ease: 46% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 64% → 46%Loading earlier updates…
Of 13 arrivals that landed between 10:33 PM and 11:33 PM EST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Fort Lauderdale departure delays ease: 45% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 78% → 45%Loading earlier updates…
Of 20 departures that took off between 8:37 PM and 9:37 PM EST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 52% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Model forecasts 68% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday
68% riskTailodds’ model gives the 15 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 68% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 44%. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Model raises Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Thursday to 67%
▲ 67% → 67% since the 2:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 75 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Thursday an average 67% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 42%. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 3–6 PM Thursday to 56%
▼ 57% → 56% since the 12:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 56 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Thursday an average 56% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 31%. From the 1:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale arrivals back near normal: 24% late in the last hour
late share 65% at worst → 24% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 17 arrivals that landed between 12:53 PM and 1:53 PM EST, 4 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Model forecasts 43% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Thursday
43% riskTailodds’ model gives the 65 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale noon–3 PM Thursday an average 43% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 26%. From the 10:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale departures back near normal: 18% late in the last hour
late share 75% at worst → 18% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 22 departures that took off between 6:29 PM and 7:29 PM EST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 40% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Fort Lauderdale arrivals running late: 52% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
52% lateOf 21 arrivals that landed between 11:15 PM and 12:15 AM EST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Fort Lauderdale arrival delays worsen: 77% late in the last hour
▲ late share 53% → 77%Loading earlier updates…
Of 13 arrivals that landed between 11:56 PM and 12:56 AM EST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Fort Lauderdale aircraft turns back near normal: 3 of 28 departures in the next 90 min are tight
tight share 35% at worst → 11% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of the 31 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale (FLL) between 8:27 PM and 9:57 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 28. For 3 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into FLL is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Fort Lauderdale departures running late: 55% left 15+ min late in the last hour
55% lateOf 29 departures that took off between 12:30 PM and 1:30 PM EST, 16 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Saturday to 46%, near normal
57% → 46%; calm-weather level 43%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 65 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Saturday an average 46% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 43%. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale departures back near normal: 23% late in the last hour
late share 67% at worst → 23% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 13 departures that took off between 4:01 PM and 5:01 PM EST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 40% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Tailodds’ model gives the 53 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Saturday an average 49% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 10:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale arrival delays worsen: 68% late in the last hour
▲ late share 60% → 68%Loading earlier updates…
Of 19 arrivals that landed between 11:18 PM and 12:18 AM EST, 13 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 71%
▼ 72% → 71% since the 6:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 16 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 71% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 49%. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale: 9 of 29 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Tight turns 9 of 29Of the 39 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale (FLL) between 6:32 PM and 8:02 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 29. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into FLL is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Friday to 66%
▼ 71% → 66% since the 4:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 90 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Friday an average 66% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 44%. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale arrivals back near normal: 17% late in the last hour
late share 60% at worst → 17% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 12 arrivals that landed between 3:17 PM and 4:17 PM EST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Fort Lauderdale departure delays ease: 60% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 79% → 60%Loading earlier updates…
Of 15 departures that took off between 3:17 PM and 4:17 PM EST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 37% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Model raises Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 3–6 PM Friday to 61%
▲ 50% → 61% since the 11:00 AM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 63 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Friday an average 61% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 36%. From the 1:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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