Will your flight be late?

Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.

0ground stops in effect right now
1FAA delay program right now
22%average chance of a late departure on Tuesday
1%average chance of a cancellation on Tuesday

Schedule: FAA flight plans for 10,731 flights; the other 14,354 (marked “typical”) come from a recent Tuesday’s schedule until the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

Airports right now

Forecasts for Tue, Sep 29, worst first. Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET.

  • Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
  • Extra today
  • Already departed
PHX Phoenix #1
35% leave 15+ min late
2% cancelled, ~13 of 842
+5 pts above normal ▲ 7 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 5 PM · 48% 20 kt gusts, 1800 ft ceiling, 0.71 in rain
LAS Las Vegas #2
33% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~10 of 714
+1 pt above normal ▲ 9 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 3 PM · 49% 23 kt gusts, 4700 ft ceiling, 0.07 in rain
FLL Fort Lauderdale #3
Rough weather, no program posted yet
30% leave 15+ min late
7% cancelled, ~19 of 280
a normal day ▲ 9 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 4 PM · 40% 26 kt gusts, 2500 ft ceiling, 2.4 in rain
BWI Baltimore/Washington #4
25% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~5 of 443
a normal day ▲ 7 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 44% 6 kt gusts, 3600 ft ceiling, 0.02 in rain
DEN Denver #5
25% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~9 of 1320
+1 pt above normal ▼ 1 pt in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 34% 9 kt gusts, high ceiling
BOS Boston Logan #6
Delay program, avg 74 min (runway construction)
22% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~6 of 555
+1 pt above normal ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 40% 11 kt gusts, 600 ft ceiling, 0.01 in rain
SEA Seattle–Tacoma #7
22% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~6 of 751
+2 pts above normal ▲ 5 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 2 PM · 27% 24 kt gusts, 1100 ft ceiling, 0.08 in rain
DFW Dallas–Fort Worth #8
22% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~20 of 1398
+1 pt above normal ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 8 PM · 30% 21 kt gusts, high ceiling
ORD Chicago O'Hare #9
Rough weather, no program posted yet
22% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~24 of 1701
a normal day ▲ 6 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 30% 11 kt gusts, 100 ft ceiling
LGA New York LaGuardia #10
20% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~10 of 638
a normal day ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 4 PM · 30% 8 kt gusts, 1600 ft ceiling
LAX Los Angeles #11
20% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~7 of 781
+1 pt above normal ▲ 6 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 3 PM · 27% 22 kt gusts, high ceiling
MSP Minneapolis–St Paul #12
20% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~5 of 490
+3 pts above normal ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 4 PM · 32% 19 kt gusts, 700 ft ceiling, 0.22 in rain
DCA Washington National #13
18% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~8 of 657
a normal day ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 27% 7 kt gusts, 4000 ft ceiling
MCO Orlando #14
18% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~5 of 599
+1 pt above normal ▲ 5 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 9 PM · 28% 7 kt gusts, high ceiling
CLT Charlotte #15
18% leave 15+ min late
1% cancelled, ~9 of 799
a normal day ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 29% 11 kt gusts, high ceiling
SLC Salt Lake City #16
16% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~3 of 426
+1 pt above normal ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 27% 16 kt gusts, high ceiling
DTW Detroit #17
15% leave 15+ min late
<1% cancelled, ~4 of 520
a normal day ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
Worst hour ahead 8 PM · 21% 9 kt gusts, high ceiling
Table view
#AirportFAA status Late departureVs. normalCancelled
1PHX Phoenix Normal operations35%+5 pts 2%
2LAS Las Vegas Normal operations33%+1 pt 1%
3FLL Fort Lauderdale Rough weather, no program posted yet30%+0 pts 7%
4BWI Baltimore/Washington Normal operations25%+0 pts 1%
5DEN Denver Normal operations25%+1 pt <1%
6BOS Boston Logan Delay program, avg 74 min (runway construction)22%+1 pt 1%
7SEA Seattle–Tacoma Normal operations22%+2 pts <1%
8DFW Dallas–Fort Worth Normal operations22%+1 pt 1%
9ORD Chicago O'Hare Rough weather, no program posted yet22%+0 pts 1%
10LGA New York LaGuardia Normal operations20%+0 pts 1%
11LAX Los Angeles Normal operations20%+1 pt <1%
12MSP Minneapolis–St Paul Normal operations20%+3 pts <1%
13DCA Washington National Normal operations18%+0 pts 1%
14MCO Orlando Normal operations18%+1 pt <1%
15CLT Charlotte Normal operations18%+0 pts 1%
16SLC Salt Lake City Normal operations16%+1 pt <1%
17DTW Detroit Normal operations15%+0 pts <1%

“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: FAA flight plans for 10,731 flights; the other 14,354 (marked “typical”) come from a recent Tuesday’s schedule until the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

Questions people are watching

Will a typical FLL departure be cancelled Tuesday?FLL · Fort Lauderdale 7% Yes 7% No 93% Will a typical PHX departure be cancelled Tuesday?PHX · Phoenix 2% Yes 2% No 98% Will a typical LGA departure be cancelled Tuesday?LGA · New York LaGuardia 1% Yes 1% No 99% Will a typical DFW departure be cancelled Tuesday?DFW · Dallas–Fort Worth 1% Yes 1% No 99%