Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
1FAA delay program right now
18%average chance of a late departure on Saturday
1%average chance of a cancellation on Saturday
Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for departures at these airports on a Saturday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years. They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
Airports on Saturday, October 3
Typical odds for Sat, Oct 3, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#1
24%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~5 of 236
+5 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 9 PM · 39%
Clear
MIA
Miami
#2
21%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 322
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 7 PM · 29%
Clear
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#3
21%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~10 of 903
+3 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 29%
Clear
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#4
21%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~16 of 1014
+5 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 8 PM · 28%
Clear
DEN
Denver
#5
21%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 872
+5 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 33%
Clear
IAH
Houston Bush
#6
20%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 301
+6 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 1 PM · 30%
Clear
MCO
Orlando
#7
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 448
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 9 PM · 33%
Clear
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#8
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 497
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 10 AM · 24%
Clear
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#9
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 257
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 7 PM · 33%
Clear
PHX
Phoenix
#10
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 482
+2 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 32%
Clear
JFK
New York JFK
#11
19%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~5 of 287
+5 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 10 PM · 32%
Clear
CLT
Charlotte
#12
19%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~5 of 482
+2 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 26%
Clear
LAS
Las Vegas
#13
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 387
+2 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 9 PM · 31%
Clear
PHL
Philadelphia
#14
18%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 304
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 5 PM · 26%
Clear
EWR
Newark
#15
17%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~5 of 299
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 28%
Clear
DCA
Washington National
#16
17%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~5 of 322
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 27%
Clear
LAX
Los Angeles
#17
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 518
+2 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 8 PM · 24%
Clear
BOS
Boston Logan
#18
Delay program, avg 74 min (runway construction)
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 378
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 9 PM · 31%
Clear
SFO
San Francisco
#19
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 420
+2 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 3 PM · 24%
Clear
ATL
Atlanta
#20
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 793
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 6 PM · 25%
Clear
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#21
15%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~5 of 259
+4 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 8 PM · 34%
Clear
DTW
Detroit
#22
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 307
+3 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 7 PM · 19%
Clear
IAD
Washington Dulles
#23
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~1 of 157
+2 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 8 PM · 19%
Clear
SLC
Salt Lake City
#24
13%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 310
+3 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 7 PM · 25%
Clear
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#25
11%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 313
+2 pts above normal
20%
Worst hour 4 PM · 16%
Clear
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Normal operations | 24% | +5 pts | 2% |
| 2 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 21% | +4 pts | 1% |
| 3 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 21% | +3 pts | 1% |
| 4 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Normal operations | 21% | +5 pts | 2% |
| 5 | DEN Denver | Normal operations | 21% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 6 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 20% | +6 pts | 1% |
| 7 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 20% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 8 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 20% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 9 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 20% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 10 | PHX Phoenix | Normal operations | 19% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 11 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 19% | +5 pts | 2% |
| 12 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 19% | +2 pts | 1% |
| 13 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 18% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 14 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 18% | +4 pts | 1% |
| 15 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 17% | +4 pts | 2% |
| 16 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 17% | +4 pts | 2% |
| 17 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 16% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 18 | BOS Boston Logan | Delay program, avg 74 min (runway construction) | 16% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 19 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 16% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 20 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 16% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 21 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Normal operations | 15% | +4 pts | 2% |
| 22 | DTW Detroit | Normal operations | 13% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 23 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 13% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 24 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 13% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 25 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 11% | +2 pts | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.