Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
3FAA delay programs right now
28%average chance of a late departure on Monday
<1%average chance of a cancellation on Monday
Schedule: FAA flight plans for 27,590 flights; the other 2,660 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports right now
Forecasts for Mon, Oct 12, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
- Already departed
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#1
Delay program, avg 32 min (wind)
40%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~9 of 575
+14 pts above normal
▲ 12 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 5 PM · 55%
18 kt gusts, 800 ft ceiling, 0.08 in rain
PHL
Philadelphia
#2
40%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~8 of 480
+12 pts above normal
▲ 15 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 3 PM · 54%
22 kt gusts, 600 ft ceiling, 0.51 in rain
LAS
Las Vegas
#3
34%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~9 of 651
+9 pts above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 49%
22 kt gusts, high ceiling
BOS
Boston Logan
#4
Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings)
34%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 617
+8 pts above normal
▲ 5 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 8 PM · 49%
12 kt gusts, 400 ft ceiling, 0.31 in rain
PHX
Phoenix
#5
Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes
32%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 675
+9 pts above normal
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 52%
24 kt gusts, high ceiling
DEN
Denver
#6
32%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 1066
+9 pts above normal
▲ 8 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 49%
32 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.01 in rain
JFK
New York JFK
#7
31%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 601
+10 pts above normal
▲ 5 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 9 PM · 46%
21 kt gusts, 700 ft ceiling, 0.1 in rain
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#8
30%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 326
+8 pts above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 8 PM · 50%
14 kt gusts, high ceiling
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#9
Rough weather, no program posted yet
30%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 300
+6 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 44%
16 kt gusts, 400 ft ceiling, 0.24 in rain
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#10
30%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 1110
+5 pts above normal
▲ 5 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 41%
23 kt gusts, 2100 ft ceiling
SLC
Salt Lake City
#11
30%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 388
+12 pts above normal
▲ 6 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 45%
28 kt gusts, 2700 ft ceiling, 0.53 in rain
LAX
Los Angeles
#12
29%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~9 of 808
+4 pts above normal
▼ 2 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 5 PM · 36%
14 kt gusts, 2200 ft ceiling, 0.24 in rain
IAH
Houston Bush
#13
29%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 638
+10 pts above normal
▲ 6 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 45%
22 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.1 in rain
DCA
Washington National
#14
28%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~5 of 467
+4 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 8 PM · 39%
19 kt gusts, 500 ft ceiling, 0.2 in rain
EWR
Newark
#15
28%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~8 of 529
+6 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 44%
24 kt gusts, 800 ft ceiling, 0.04 in rain
SFO
San Francisco
#16
26%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 620
+6 pts above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 2 PM · 36%
15 kt gusts, high ceiling
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#17
26%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~11 of 1346
+8 pts above normal
▲ 6 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 37%
21 kt gusts, high ceiling
CLT
Charlotte
#18
25%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~7 of 780
+6 pts above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 35%
15 kt gusts, high ceiling
MCO
Orlando
#19
25%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 578
+6 pts above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 38%
13 kt gusts, high ceiling
MIA
Miami
#20
24%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 485
+3 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 35%
14 kt gusts, 3800 ft ceiling, 0.05 in rain
ATL
Atlanta
#21
23%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 1257
+6 pts above normal
▲ 6 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 34%
17 kt gusts, high ceiling
IAD
Washington Dulles
#22
21%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~5 of 380
+2 pts above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 29%
27 kt gusts, 600 ft ceiling, 0.97 in rain
DTW
Detroit
#23
Rough weather, no program posted yet
21%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 538
+3 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 7 PM · 30%
17 kt gusts, 400 ft ceiling
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#24
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 624
+3 pts above normal
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 25%
7 kt gusts, high ceiling
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#25
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~3 of 540
+5 pts above normal
▲ 5 pts in 24 h
30%
now
Worst hour ahead 6 PM · 29%
11 kt gusts, 3233 ft ceiling
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Delay program, avg 32 min (wind) | 40% | +14 pts | 2% |
| 2 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 40% | +12 pts | 2% |
| 3 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 34% | +9 pts | 1% |
| 4 | BOS Boston Logan | Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings) | 34% | +8 pts | 1% |
| 5 | PHX Phoenix | Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes | 32% | +9 pts | <1% |
| 6 | DEN Denver | Normal operations | 32% | +9 pts | <1% |
| 7 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 31% | +10 pts | 1% |
| 8 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Normal operations | 30% | +8 pts | 1% |
| 9 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 30% | +6 pts | <1% |
| 10 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 30% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 11 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 30% | +12 pts | <1% |
| 12 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 29% | +4 pts | 1% |
| 13 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 29% | +10 pts | <1% |
| 14 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 28% | +4 pts | 1% |
| 15 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 28% | +6 pts | 2% |
| 16 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 26% | +6 pts | <1% |
| 17 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Normal operations | 26% | +8 pts | <1% |
| 18 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 25% | +6 pts | <1% |
| 19 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 25% | +6 pts | <1% |
| 20 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 24% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 21 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 23% | +6 pts | <1% |
| 22 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 21% | +2 pts | 1% |
| 23 | DTW Detroit | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 21% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 24 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 20% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 25 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 19% | +5 pts | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: FAA flight plans for 27,590 flights; the other 2,660 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.