Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
3FAA delay programs right now
24%average chance of a late departure on Friday
1%average chance of a cancellation on Friday
Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for departures at these airports on a Friday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years. They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports on Friday, October 16
Typical odds for Fri, Oct 16, worst first. Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#1
Delay program, avg 32 min (wind)
29%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~12 of 519
+10 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 45%
Clear
EWR
Newark
#2
28%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~10 of 514
+8 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 47%
Clear
LAS
Las Vegas
#3
27%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 606
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 9 PM · 42%
Clear
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#4
26%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~12 of 1039
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 5 PM · 36%
Clear
PHX
Phoenix
#5
Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes
26%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 661
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 41%
Clear
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#6
26%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 306
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 42%
Clear
SFO
San Francisco
#7
26%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~6 of 598
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 2 PM · 34%
Clear
DEN
Denver
#8
26%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~7 of 1031
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 38%
Clear
BOS
Boston Logan
#9
Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings)
26%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~7 of 573
+9 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 43%
Clear
MIA
Miami
#10
25%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~9 of 470
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 39%
Clear
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#11
25%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 290
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 10 PM · 41%
Clear
JFK
New York JFK
#12
25%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~11 of 566
+8 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 9 PM · 38%
Clear
DCA
Washington National
#13
24%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~9 of 430
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 36%
Clear
IAH
Houston Bush
#14
24%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 603
+5 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 32%
Clear
PHL
Philadelphia
#15
24%
leave 15+ min late
2%
cancelled, ~8 of 455
+6 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 36%
Clear
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#16
24%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 602
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 8 PM · 30%
Clear
CLT
Charlotte
#17
24%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 738
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 33%
Clear
LAX
Los Angeles
#18
23%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~7 of 755
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 31%
Clear
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#19
23%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~13 of 1302
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 33%
Clear
MCO
Orlando
#20
22%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 542
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 35%
Clear
ATL
Atlanta
#21
20%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~9 of 1109
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 31%
Clear
DTW
Detroit
#22
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 457
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 5 PM · 28%
Clear
IAD
Washington Dulles
#23
18%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~4 of 362
+3 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 6 PM · 27%
Clear
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#24
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 457
+4 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 4 PM · 28%
Clear
SLC
Salt Lake City
#25
17%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 363
+2 pts above normal
25%
Worst hour 7 PM · 27%
Clear
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Delay program, avg 32 min (wind) | 29% | +10 pts | 2% |
| 2 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 28% | +8 pts | 2% |
| 3 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 27% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 4 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 26% | +4 pts | 1% |
| 5 | PHX Phoenix | Departure delays 16 minutes–30 minutes | 26% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 6 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Normal operations | 26% | +5 pts | 1% |
| 7 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 26% | +5 pts | <1% |
| 8 | DEN Denver | Normal operations | 26% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 9 | BOS Boston Logan | Delay program, avg 75 min (low ceilings) | 26% | +9 pts | 1% |
| 10 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 25% | +4 pts | 2% |
| 11 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 25% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 12 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 25% | +8 pts | 2% |
| 13 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 24% | +5 pts | 2% |
| 14 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 24% | +5 pts | 1% |
| 15 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 24% | +6 pts | 2% |
| 16 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 24% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 17 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 24% | +3 pts | 1% |
| 18 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 23% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 19 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Normal operations | 23% | +3 pts | 1% |
| 20 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 22% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 21 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 20% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 22 | DTW Detroit | Normal operations | 19% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 23 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 18% | +3 pts | 1% |
| 24 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 18% | +4 pts | <1% |
| 25 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 17% | +2 pts | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.